The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.The Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024. On the afternoon of December 10th, the Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024 to sort out and summarize the latest progress, existing problems and difficulties in the implementation of cleaner production in 2024, study the key tasks in 2025, and promote the completion of the objectives and tasks of the Tenth Five-Year Plan.Network Information Office: The Network Security Standards Committee should speed up the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence" and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles. The second "Standards Week" of the National Network Security Standardization Technical Committee in 2024 was held in Haikou City, Hainan Province from December 8 th to 11 th. Wang Jingtao, deputy director of the National Network Information Office, pointed out that standing at a new starting point and a new journey, the Network Security Standards Committee should do a solid job in network security standardization. First, it is necessary to build a national network security defense system supported by standards, and promote the release and implementation of standards such as the boundary determination method of key information infrastructure, the index system of security protection capability, the alarm information format of network security products, and the asset information format as soon as possible, and accelerate the formation of systematic defense capabilities. Second, it is necessary to use standards to help data security governance and supervision, speed up the development of standards such as data classification and classification protection requirements and compliance audit of personal information protection, and ensure the safe and orderly flow of data. Third, it is necessary to lead the safe and orderly development of new technologies and applications such as artificial intelligence with standards and norms, accelerate the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence", and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles and autonomous driving, effectively escorting the safe development of emerging future industries. Fourth, we should use standards to boost the international influence of China's cybersecurity, continue to push China's cybersecurity standards "going global", do our best to run the SC27 international conference in the second half of 2025, and strive to achieve a double harvest of conference organization and conference technical achievements.
US Treasury Secretary Yellen: The oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. Russia has invested a lot of money in its fleet to avoid the western oil price cap sanctions.Japan's Shimane nuclear power plant operating company said that there was no abnormality in the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2, which was previously misjudged. On December 12, local time, China Electric Power Company of Japan conducted an investigation on the report that the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2 of Shimane nuclear power plant was once abnormal, and the results showed that there was no abnormality. The company said that the value displayed by the instrument was normal, but the operator misunderstood the data and misjudged it as abnormal. (CCTV News)The US media said that the Biden administration is considering imposing new sanctions on Russian oil trade. Informed sources: The details have yet to be finalized. The Bloomberg website reported on the 10th local time that the Biden administration is considering imposing new sanctions on Russian oil trade before Trump returns to the White House, and the specific details have yet to be finalized. The article said that the Biden administration is weighing new and stricter sanctions against Russia's lucrative oil trade, trying to increase pressure on the Kremlin before Trump returns to the White House. According to an insider who asked not to be named, the details of possible new measures are still being worked out, but Biden's team is considering imposing restrictions on some Russian oil exports. Up to now, the Russian side has not responded. (CCTV)
EU finalizes new sanctions against Russia: strike against the "shadow fleet". According to a report on the website of German newspaper Sü ddeutsche Zeitung on December 11th, EU countries have reached an agreement on a new package of sanctions against Russia. Several diplomats told DPA that the new sanctions were aimed at strengthening the crackdown on the so-called "Russian shadow fleet" transporting oil and petroleum products. It is reported that more than 50 ships will be banned from entering EU ports. In addition, they can no longer get the services of EU enterprises. In June this year, the EU has taken preliminary measures to blacklist more than 20 Russian ships. It is reported that this is the 15th package of sanctions against Russia drawn up by the EU so far. The plan also stipulates that trade with more than 30 other business entities should be restricted, and the EU has determined that they should keep in touch with the Russian defense and security departments. In addition, the EU also plans to impose an entry ban and asset freeze on some individuals. According to the report, senior EU officials are pleased that member States have reached a consensus on this. Kaya Karas, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said: "This will further weaken (Russian President) Putin's war machine." Roberta Metsola, Speaker of the European Parliament, said: "This sends another strong signal: our support for Ukraine will not weaken." The sanctions plan will be officially confirmed at the meeting of foreign ministers of member States in Brussels on the 16th, and then will be published in the official gazette of the European Union and come into effect. (Reference message)Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.People's Insurance Company of China: In the first November, the original insurance premium income of the three subsidiaries totaled 646.933 billion yuan. From January 1, 2024 to November 30, 2024, the original insurance premium income obtained through the subsidiaries of China People's Property Insurance Co., Ltd., China People's Life Insurance Co., Ltd. and China People's Health Insurance Co., Ltd. was 496.845 billion yuan, 102.591 billion yuan and 47.497 billion yuan respectively.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14